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NBA Totals Breakdown

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Updated January 24, 2013

2012-13 NBA Totals Breakdown

It's time for our first look at NBA totals for the 2012-13 season and we'll delve into them in a big way. We'll look at the results in our usual groupings, but we'll look at the league as a whole, games involving two Eastern Conference teams, games involving two Western Conference teams and wrap it up with those games where an Eastern Conference team is playing a Western Conference squad.

It's commonly said that the Eastern Conference is more of a defensive-oriented conference and the results back that statement up.

Total Over/Under Breakdown

Total of 179.5 or less: 1-6-0
Total of 180 to 184.5: 27-22-3
Total of 185 to 189.5: 50-50-2
Total of 190 to 194.5: 67-65-2
Total of 195 to 199.5: 73-67-4
Total of 200 to 204.5: 38-50-2
Total of 205 to 209.5: 21-20-0
Total of 210 to 214.5: 9-9-0
Total of 215 to 219.5: 1-1-1
Total of 220 or more: 1-0
Not too much to get excited about here, although we do notice that in those games where the oddsmaker is telling us it will be a low-scoring game--those with a total of less than 180--he has been right on the money as only one game out of seven went over the total.

Eastern Conf. vs. Eastern Conf. Over/Under Breakdown

Total of 179.5 or less: 1-0-0
Total of 180 to 184.5: 15-14-3
Total of 185 to 189.5: 27-31-1
Total of 190 to 194.5: 22-21-1
Total of 195 to 199.5: 10-13-2
Total of 200 to 204.5: 1-2-0
Total of 205 to 209.5: 0-1-0

There isn't too much here, either, although games involving two Eastern Conference teams with a total of 195 and higher are just 11-16-2 (40.7%) in totals. You also notice that these games have yet to see a total of 210 or more.

Western Conf. vs. Western Conf. Over/Under Breakdown

Total of 179.5 or less: 0-1-0
Total of 180 to 184.5: 4-2-0
Total of 185 to 189.5: 10-3-1
Total of 190 to 194.5: 14-11-0
Total of 195 to 199.5: 24-27-1
Total of 200 to 204.5: 18-28-0
Total of 205 to 209.5: 16-7-0
Total of 210 to 214.5: 7-5-0
Total of 215 to 219.5: 1-1-1
Total of 220 or more: 1-0
Now we're getting somewhere. Games involving two Western Conference teams with a total of less than 195 are 28-17-1 (62.2%) to the over and on the other end of the equation, games with a total of 205 or greater are 25-13-1, which is 65.8% to the over. Definitely something to keep an eye on.

Eastern Conf. vs. Western Conf. Over/Under Breakdown

Total of 179.5 or less: 0-5-0
Total of 180 to 184.5: 8-5-0
Total of 185 to 189.5: 13-16-0
Total of 190 to 194.5: 31-33-1
Total of 195 to 199.5: 39-27-1
Total of 200 to 204.5: 19-20-1
Total of 205 to 209.5: 5-12-0
Total of 210 to 214.5: 2-4-0

Once again, 205 is a magic number, although this time it's for the under, as games with a total of 200 or more are 26-36-1 (41.9%) to the over and games with a total of 205 or more are just 7-16. Another trend that's worth keeping an eye on in the upcoming weeks.

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