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College Football Bowl Report No. 1


Updated December 13, 2012

College Football Bowl Report No. 1

We'll begin our more in-depth analysis at the 2012-13 college football bowl games with a look at the first six games, which will take us through Dec. 22.

The college football power ratings have been updated and there are no plays this week. While the numbers have BYU eight points better than San Diego State, which would qualify the Cougars as a 5* play, the game is being played in San Diego, so the Aztecs have to be given a couple of points for playing at home.

New Mexico Bowl

The first game on the schedule is the New Mexico Bowl between Arizona and Nevada, a pair of under-achievers both sporting 7-5 records. The teams have put up similar numbers, although Arizona has played the tougher competition.

The Wildcats are favored by 10 and the total is 75.

I'm not a huge fan of the Pac 12, believing the conference gets more credit than it actually deserves and typically look to go against Pac 12 teams when they are large favorites. Nevada is nothing to get excited about, but will give them a slight lean as a double-digit dog.

Idaho Potato Bowl

Again, we have a double-digit underdog that could be worth a shot, as Utah State is favored by 10 over Toledo and the total is 58.

Both teams can put up the points, but Utah State has been better defensively, which isn't all that shocking, as Toledo plays in the offensive-minded MAC. Toledo played both Arizona and Northern Illinois tough, losing 24-17 to Arizona in overtime and dropping a 31-24 decision to NIU. Both those teams are higher-rated than Utah State. Another tough game to call, but will stay with the double-digit underdog.

Poinsettia Bowl

A good early bowl match-up between BYU and San Diego State. The Cougars are favored by 2.5 and the total is 49.

The two are former rivals in the Mountain West and the Cougars would traditionally get the best of San Diego State and can see a similar occurrence in this game. BYU is solid defensively and can slow down San Diego State's offense to a degree. The Cougars aren't the explosive team of yesteryear, but believe the can score enough to get the win here.

Beef O' Brady's Bowl

Central Florida is favored by seven over Ball State and the total is 61.5. Central Florida is playing close to home, although not by choice, as the Knights fell in the Conference USA title game or they would be in the Liberty Bowl.

Tough game to call, but will give the edge to the underdog in what could be a high-scoring, entertaining game.

New Orleans Bowl

This is one bowl game we could do without, as Lafayette and East Carolina are two of the lowest-rated teams to make bowl games, but it also has the potential to be pretty entertaining, as well. Louisiana-Lafayette is favored by six and the total is 64, so I'd lean to the Pirates.

Las Vegas Bowl

Boise State is favored by five over Washington and the total is 46.

Washington was an up-and-down team during the year, owning wins over Stanford and Oregon State, but losing to lowly Washington State and getting absolutely pummeled by LSU.

Boise's two losses were by a combined six points, falling to Michigan State in its opening game and then being upset by San Diego State 21-19. The San Diego State game is a bit misleading, however, as the Aztecs returned a kickoff for a touchdown and had an 8-yard drive for another score after blocking a punt.

Plenty of people like Washington in this one, but I'll lean to Boise and the under.

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