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NCAA Football Week 12 Report


Updated November 16, 2012

NCAA Football Week 12 Report

The college football world was turned upside down last weekend with Alabama falling to Texas A&M and there's a real possibility that we may not see an SEC team playing for the national championship, despite the SEC being the best conference in the country and having more than half of the top 10 teams in the BCS.

The top two teams in the BCS--Kansas State and Oregon--were scheduled to meet last year and this year in a home-and-home series, but the Ducks accepted an opportunity to play LSU last season and wanted Kansas State to move the date of the game. The Wildcats said no and the schools agreed to cancel the two games. Still, it's hard to get excited about that as a potential championship game.

There aren't many big games on the slate this week, with just three games involving two top 25 teams and USC vs. UCLA is definitely one that is hard to get excited about. Oregon vs. Stanford isn't much better, as the Cardinal are nothing more than a .500 team in the SEC, while Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State should see a fair amount of points.

p>The college football power ratings have been updated and here are this week's power rating plays. A 5* means the difference in power ratings and theodds are 5 to 6.5 points, while a 7* means the difference is seven points or more.
5* Air Force-21.5, Illinois+6, West Virginia+11, USC-3, Baylor+13, La. Tech+3, Southern Miss+3.5, Wash. St.+22.
7* Florida International+2, Houston+3.5, Maryland+31, Missouri-5, Oklahoma State-10, LSU-18.5.

Again, Maryland falls into being a system play, but is without their top couple of quarterbacks, so I would definitely discount them from consideration.

The Games

Kent State at Bowling Green: A decent MAC match-up between two of the better teams in the conference. Kent State has just lost once one on the season, while Bowling Green is 7-3. Bowling Green has gone under in all nine games this season, as the team actually plays defense which is almost unheard of in the MAC. Have to believe the Falcons can slow down Kent's rushing attack and can see them getting the cover as 2.5-point favotites in this spot.

Iowa State at Kansas: The line opened at Iowa State-6.5 and is now down to five, so I like the Jayhawks a little bit less than I did, but believe they are the right side.

Rutgers at Cincinnati: The Bearcats are 6.5-point favorites in this spot, which looks to be a bit on the high side. Both teams can play decent defense and have to believe points will be at a premium, making me inclined to side with the dog.

SMU at Rice: Both teams are fighting to become bowl eligible and this becomes a must-win game for Rice, who need to win this week and next, while the Mustangs have to win one of their two final games, although this figures to be a more winnable game for SMU than next week against Tulsa.

This is one of those gut-feelings more than anything else that Rice will stay within the 3.5 points and get the cover.

Utah State at La. Tech: I don't get this line at all. I know Utah State is a stout defensive team, but why are they 3-point road favorites at La. Tech? Yes, Utah State is off a bye and La. Tech is without Tevin King, but he has been out since September and the Bulldogs didn't miss a beat. Will either take the dog or stay away from this one.

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