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NCAA Football Week 13 Report


Updated November 24, 2012

NCAA Football Week 13 Report

As we hit the homestretch of the regular college football season, we'll see plenty of the traditional end-of-year rivalry games this next and next. There are often plenty of upsets in these games, so be sure to stay within your limits this week. The urge may strike you to try and recover some of your Black Friday outlay of cash, but the final week or two of the season can be tricky.

Some teams are still fighting for bowl eligibility, which others are coming off huge wins or disappointing defeats. Revenge is also a powerful motive at this point in the season, especially for some teams that have been eliminated from post-season contention.

It's a good weekend for football fans, as there are plenty of big match-ups that will decide several of the BCS berths and other conference champions.

p>The college football power ratings have been updated and here are this week's power rating plays. A 5* means the difference in power ratings and the odds are 5 to 6.5 points, while a 7* means the difference is seven points or more.
This week's plays are:
5* Virginia Tech-10, Miami-6.5, Illinois+19.5, Wisconsin+2, Air Force+17, Missouri+22, La. Tech+3.5, Troy+3.
7* Maryland+24, Idaho+38, Baylor-3.5, Miss St. +1.5, Southern Miss+4, Houston-12, USC+5.5, Hawaii+3.5

A number of these teams, such as Maryland, Idaho, Missouri, Houston and USC have quarterback injuries, while Baylor is coming off a huge upset of Kansas State and could be ripe for a letdown.As a side note, next year I will break these into 5* and 10* plays, as the difference between five and seven points isn't really large enough to be that significant.

This week's games

Arizona State at Arizona: Both teams have already sewn up bowl eligibility and this game is for bragging rights in the state. A 7-5 ASU team is probably more appealing than a 6-6 Sun Devils team, so the underdog has a bit more incentive in this spot. Will lean to ASU and the points in what could be a decent game to watch.

Michigan at Ohio State: This is Ohio State's bowl game this season, as the Buckeyes made a huge blunder last year by not putting themselves on a bowl ban, as the Miami Hurricanes have done the past two seasons. If the Buckeyes had done so, they would be playing for a spot in a BCS game and possibly the national championship game, provided their self-imposed ban had satisfied the NCAA. Instead, Ohio State played in minor bowl game and took the hit this year. Ohio State is the better team and should be ready to play, while Michigan is playing to get in a better bowl game.

Oregon at Oregon State:

I haven't exactly been an Oregon fan this season, but have been even less of a believer in Oregon State, but just have a feeling they manage to keep within the double-digit spread in this one.

La. Tech at San Jose State:

La. Tech coming off a disappointing overtime loss last week, ending any shot of a major bowl bid, while Spartans were playing extremely well. Have rode La. Tech several times this year, but will switch and side with San Jose State as small favorites.

Wisconsin at Penn State:

The Nittany Lions have rebounded from a sluggish start and have played solid football, going 7-4 on the year, despite losing some key players to transfers. Have to lean with Wisconsin in the spot.

Florida at Florida State: Would normally lean with an SEC team against an ACC squad, but think the Seminoles have too much firepower for a sputtering Gator offense.

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