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NCAA Football Week 14 Report


Updated November 30, 2012

NCAA Football Week 14 Report

We're getting down to the end of the regular college football season, as there is just next week's traditional Army vs. Navy game before the bowl games begin. Granted, there will be plenty of teams who have no business being in a bowl game, and others who have no business playing in a BCS game, but there isn't anything that can be done about that.

There's an abbreviated schedule this week, so bettors definitely have fewer games to consider, which can be both a blessing and a curse, as there are fewer opportunities to find spread that may be off a bit, but more time to handicap each individual game.

p>The college football power ratings have been updated and there are only two 5* plays this week, Stanford -8 and Wisconsin +3 and both just sneak in there with five-point differences.

The past few weeks I've done far better in the weekly NFL report than in the college report, which has been 50-50. That's a bit surprising, since it's historically been the other way around, so hoping to get back on track a little bit in the NCAA.

The Games

Northern Illinois vs. Kent State; The winner of this game could find itself playing in a BCS bowl. The line has climbed to Northern Illinois -7 and believe the Huskies will get the victory here, although not real thrilled with laying so may points.

UCLA at Stanford: A rematch of last week's game, although this time the teams move to the Bay Area from Southern California. There has been plenty said about how the Bruins probably didn't put a lot of emphasis into last week's game, as a win over Stanford would have sent them to Eugene tonight to face the Ducks. Several people I respect like the Bruins in this spot, but I'll likely be passing this one.

Cincinnati at Connecticut: This is one game that certainly won't be attracting a lot of attention, but it does give you a decent home underdog looking for its sixth victory of the season, which would make them bowl eligible. Whether or not the Huskies would get a bowl berth is another story. Cincinnati has pretty much locked up a bowl game with eight wins.

Lafayette at Florida Atlantic: Another game that will definitely be under the radar, this one also offers a home dog with a shot. Lafayette, which now just calls itself Louisiana, has already accepted an invite from the New Orleans Bowl, making their motivation a little suspect. This is the final game of the year for Florida Atlantic, which is coming off a bye, giving them two weeks to prepare for nothing but this game.

Boise State at Nevada: Something is going to give in this game, as you have a Nevada offense that has scored at least 30 points in every game this season facing a Boise State defense that hasn't allowed 30 points in a single game this season. The early weather forecast is calling for a 40% chance of showers with gusty winds, so I'd lean to the under 59.

Alabama vs. Georgia: I've had the Crimson Tide ranked as the best team in college football season long and haven't seen anything to change my opinion, despite their one loss this season. Most people already have Alabama penciled in to face Notre Dame for the BCS title, but Georgia has the ability to keep this one close, at least within the 7.5 points. All the pressure will be on Alabama in this spot, making me lean to the underdog,

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