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NFL Week 15 Report


Updated December 13, 2012

NFL Week 15 Report

Football bettors and fans are in for a treat this weekend, as there are several games that definitely bear watching, including Denver at Baltimore, Green Bay at Chicago, New York Giants at Atlanta and San Francisco at New England. Even Pittsburgh at Dallas and Washington at Cleveland aren't all that bad.

Then we get to Monday night, where football bettors are asked to endure the New York Jets at the Titans, which is a bit worse than the Thursday night game of Cincinnati at Philadelphia.

The NFL Power Ratings have been updated and are coming off a 3-0 week. This week, the New York Giants+1.5 barely make it in as a 5* play. as do the Patriots, with both teams rated 5.5 points better.

Our tracking of the Dudley Method and the Total Dudley Method throughout the year is still showing all systems in the red. We'll finish out the years and then look at the results and go from there.

We'll list this week's plays, as well as last week's records and season-to-date records.

Dudley Sides (4-2, 22-28-1): Bears+3, Colts+8.5, Bills+5.5, Arizona+6.5.

Dudley Totals (2-3, 25-34-1): Rams over 38, Miami over 37, Denver under 48, Houston over 48, Chargers over 56, Raiders under 44, Patriots over 46, Titans under 41.5.

Total Dudley Sides (2-2, 9-15-1): Dallas+2.

Total Dudley Totals (1-3, 13-19): Miami over 37, Denver under 48, Houston over 48.

YPP Power Ratings (1-3, 23-26):Bears+3, Ravens+3, Arizona+6.5, Dallas+2.

The Games

Detroit at Arizona: The Cardinals were absolutely humiliated last Sunday by the Seattle Seahawks, getting blanked by a 58-0 margin. Seattle's offense isn't quite up to the level of Detroit, which could spell trouble. It's logical to expect the Cardinals defense to bounce back a bit, although they couldn't get any worse.

I do expect the Arizona offense to come to life somewhat in this game and can see the game going over the total of 43.5.

If forced to choose a side, would give a slight lean to the Cardinals as an anti-public play.

Seattle at Buffalo: We'll stick to talking about the Seahawks and follow them as they travel to Canada in what is a home game for the Bills. Just as the public is all over Detroit against the Cardinals, they are backing Seattle heavily in this spot, making me think the Bills can somehow stay within the spread.

Denver at Baltimore: You have to be impressed with what Manning and the Broncos have done this year, but it's a little hard to see them favored by three on the road against the Ravens. They may not be the Ravens of old, but they're still a top-tier team playing in front of the home fans, so I'd give them a nod here.

Indianapolis at Houston: The Houston secondary has been exposed the past four weeks, allowing 1,345 passing yards. Expect more of the same when Oliver Luck and the Colts visit.

The Texans can't put points on the board, as well, so I'd lean to this one going over 48.

San Francisco at New England: In some ways this reminds me of last week's game with Houston visiting New England. The Patriots may go through the motions at times, as they are just 1-3 as a double-digit favorite, but are 4-1 against the number when favored by six or less, meaning they tend to get up for what are expected to be close games. They are favored by 5.5 points here and think they can get the cover.

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