Baseball's Low Scoring Winners
So far each of our weekly systems have dealt with underdogs, but this week we'll look at a method that pertains to both underdogs and favorites. Our only requirement is that the team we're backing is at home.This is one of those methods that is embarrassingly simple, yet has produced a decent profit in each of the last three seasons. So far in the 2011 season it is showing a slight loss, which is somewhat expected as it does tend to back favorites more than underdogs, and ass we have mentioned, the best time for wagering on underdogs is typically during the first half of the year.
This is somewhat of an offshoot of our earlier underdog system, Baseball's Low Scoring Underdog Winners, however now, we're simply looking at the home team.
This simple system tells us to back any home team that won its previous game while scoring three runs or less. That's all there is to it.
Such a simple method has produced the following results:
2008 140-92 +2115
2009 129-87 +2170
2010 145-112 +948
2011 18-17 -134
As mentioned above, this is a method that I would expect to do better the second half of the season than the first, so the 18-17 record through the first month of April isn't really troubling.
Remember, the team in question can be favored or be tabbed as the underdog. Our only requirement is that they are the home team.
This method will give you more plays than our typical underdog system and is good for those who like to wager on more games. Good luck.
