Baseball Betting - Baseball Revenge Systems
The Major League Baseball season is twice as long as any other sport and playing back-to-back games is the rule, rather than the exception. With so many games on the schedule, it's both physically and mentally impossible for a team to be motivated for every single game, which is one reason why the top teams win around 60 percent of their games, while the worst teams will generally win around 40 percent of their games. In the NBA, it isn't unusual to see teams win 75 percent of their games, while the teams fighting to avoid having the worst record in the league will typically win less than 30 percent of their games.
One of the keys for sports bettors is to try and predict when teams will be "up" for a game and there are two situations in baseball, when a team is likely to give that extra effort. Both of these involve being previously humiliated by their opponent and having something to prove.
Baseball's Quick Revenge System
The first method involves teams that are playing at home and were defeated by three or more runs the previous game by the same team they are playing today. A team that was embarrassed in front of the home fans is likely to want to return the favor in the worst possible way.
The one requirement of this system is that the team we are looking to wager on is favored in the game. The reason for this is that we want to make sure the team we are wagering on is fairly comparable in ability to the team they just lost to, or that we have a big advantage in the starting pitchers.
If the New York Yankees travel to Florida and defeat Tampa Bay by a score of 9-5 in the first game of a series, the Devil Rays may be extremely motivated to win the next game, but may not have the talent to compete with the Yankees and New York is likely to be favored in all three games, so Tampa Bay would not be a play under the system.
This system makes sense for the reason that we are betting on a team that should be motivated. The fact that we should be receiving a slight break in the odds on the game doesn't hurt either.
Baseball's Long-Term Revenge System
As the name implies, this system doesn't take place right away, as here we are looking for teams that were swept (lost all of the games) in a series to bounce back with at least one win the next time the two teams meet.
If the New York Yankees went on to defeat Tampa Bay in all three games of their series, we would look to back the Devils Rays the next time the two teams play each other.
Some bettors will add stipulations to this system, such as taking the team on the run line (+ 1.5 runs) if they are the underdog and wagering on the money line if the team is the favorite. Others will vary their betting amounts to show a profit as long as the team wins at least one game in the new series.
Once the team that was swept in the previous series wins a game in the new series, the system comes to an end, as the team has accomplished its primary goal of not getting swept again, which would be extremely humiliating for any professional baseball team.
As always, systems are best used as a supplement to your normal handicapping method and not as a stand-alone method of predicting the outcomes of games. While it's best to look for additional avenues of support in backing a team that is recommended by either system, it's probably best not to wager against either system, regardless of what your handicapping suggests.
If your handicapping implies a wager on a team that falls into either system, you can feel a little more confident about your chances of winning.
